Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 36.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gregor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 41.9% vs Gregor 46.4% (+1.7%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 54.7%
Defensive zone
Mercer 52.4%
Neutral zone
Mercer 52.1%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Mercer
Gregor
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (263)
36.8% (38)
+2.0%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
50.0% (2)
-14.7%
On power play, Gregor has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Mercer is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Mercer shoots right. Gregor is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (14).
Home / Away
Mercer
Gregor
Home
35.2% (145)
40.7% (27)
Away
43.2% (146)
30.8% (13)
By Period
Mercer
Gregor
P1
32.7%
42.9%
P2
42.7%
21.4%
P3
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.2%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%
Gregor
40.0%▲
36.0%
37.5%