Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gregor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 39.9% vs Gregor 40.4% (+3.4%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 50.0%
Defensive zone
Mercer 53.3%
Neutral zone
Mercer 52.8%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Mercer
Gregor
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (1,412)
36.6% (202)
+2.5%
Power Play
41.1% (90)
28.6% (14)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
0.0% (1)
+41.3%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +41.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Mercer is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,099).
Mercer shoots right. Gregor is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Mercer
Gregor
Home
40.1% (756)
36.2% (116)
Away
38.5% (792)
35.6% (101)
By Period
Mercer
Gregor
P1
38.2%
36.8%
P2
39.2%
28.0%
P3
41.2%
45.5%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.3%
Gregor
40.0%▲
36.0%
35.9%