Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 41.9% vs Strome 45.9% (-5.5%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 50.2%
Defensive zone
Strome 59.5%
Neutral zone
Strome 51.5%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Mercer
Strome
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (263)
45.4% (315)
-6.6%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
35.7% (28)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
50.0% (4)
+4.5%
On even strength, Strome has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Mercer is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Mercer shoots right. Strome is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Mercer
Strome
Home
35.2% (145)
42.6% (188)
Away
43.2% (146)
47.2% (159)
By Period
Mercer
Strome
P1
32.7%
38.6%
P2
42.7%
48.4%
P3
42.9%
46.2%
Final 5 min
39.2%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.7%