Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 35.8% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 42.2% vs Crosby 55.0% (-16.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Mercer
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Mercer
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Mercer
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Mercer
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Mercer
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
39.0% (254)
53.2% (877)
-14.2%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
63.8% (210)
-35.2%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
64.3% (14)
-8.7%
On power play, Crosby has a +35.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Mercer is 35.8% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Mercer shoots right. Crosby is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Mercer
Crosby
Home
34.1% (126)
56.4% (578)
Away
43.8% (144)
54.3% (523)
By Period
Mercer
Crosby
P1
31.3%
57.0%
P2
44.0%
51.4%
P3
43.7%
57.9%
Final 5 min
35.4%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
37.5%
39.3%
Crosby
36.0%▼
52.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 14:46 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 08:58 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |