Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 43.3% vs Gourde 49.7% (-9.1%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 59.3%
Defensive zone
Gourde 65.2%
Neutral zone
Gourde 52.1%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Mercer
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (212)
51.2% (469)
-10.2%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
42.9% (21)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
37.5% (48)
-1.1%
On even strength, Gourde has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Mercer is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Mercer shoots right. Gourde is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Mercer
Gourde
Home
45.2% (126)
47.8% (301)
Away
35.1% (111)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Mercer
Gourde
P1
34.5%
47.3%
P2
43.4%
53.4%
P3
45.8%
48.6%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.9%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
37.5%
40.5%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
49.6%