Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Barbashev shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 48.8% vs Barbashev 42.3% (+8.7%)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 73.5%
Defensive zone
Grant 69.4%
Neutral zone
Grant 50.4%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Grant
Barbashev
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (222)
37.9% (272)
+11.2%
Power Play
76.5% (17)
58.6% (29)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (181)
40.7% (27)
+4.6%
On power play, Grant has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. Grant is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Grant shoots left. Barbashev is 38.6% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Home / Away
Grant
Barbashev
Home
49.8% (223)
45.3% (137)
Away
47.2% (197)
36.1% (191)
By Period
Grant
Barbashev
P1
43.9%
41.8%
P2
49.7%
43.1%
P3
51.4%
31.9%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Barbashev
26.0%▼
36.5%
39.9%