Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +17.0% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Barbashev shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Barbashev 43.0% (+17.0%)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 78.8%
Defensive zone
Grant 86.8%
Neutral zone
Grant 52.5%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Grant
Barbashev
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
39.1% (128)
+17.4%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
36.4% (11)
+28.9%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
20.0% (5)
+28.5%
On power play, Grant has a +28.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. Grant is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Grant shoots left. Barbashev is 36.0% vs left-shot opponents (75).
Home / Away
Grant
Barbashev
Home
60.3% (257)
40.0% (85)
Away
49.6% (236)
35.6% (59)
By Period
Grant
Barbashev
P1
54.7%
35.8%
P2
54.0%
29.5%
P3
57.1%
48.9%
Final 5 min
51.9%
31.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Barbashev
26.0%▼
36.5%
38.2%