Derek Grant vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 48.8% vs Pageau 55.0% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grant 51.4%
Defensive zone
Grant 71.2%
Neutral zone
Grant 63.7%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Grant
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Grant
Pageau
Last 5: Grant 2-3 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
2
Grant
Pageau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Pageau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Grant
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (222)
55.8% (1,000)
-6.7%
Power Play
76.5% (17)
56.6% (182)
+19.9%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (181)
51.2% (170)
-5.9%
On power play, Grant has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Grant is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Grant shoots left. Pageau is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (983).
Home / Away
Grant
Pageau
Home
49.8% (223)
57.1% (674)
Away
47.2% (197)
53.5% (678)
By Period
Grant
Pageau
P1
43.9%
56.9%
P2
49.7%
54.5%
P3
51.4%
54.7%
OT
50.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
51.2%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 18:06 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:59 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 05:17 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |