Derek Grant vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Grant wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Pageau 54.8% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 14-11 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 72.8%
Defensive zone
Grant 58.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 62.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Grant
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
11
(25 meetings)
14
11
Grant
Pageau
Last 10: Grant 5-5 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
5
Grant
Pageau
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
9
1
Grant
Pageau
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
5
Grant
Pageau
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
55.8% (9,525)
-2.1%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
57.0% (1,008)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
49.6% (2,077)
-3.6%
On power play, Grant has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Grant is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,349).
Grant shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,869).
Home / Away
Grant
Pageau
Home
54.3% (1,956)
56.3% (6,267)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
53.4% (6,343)
By Period
Grant
Pageau
P1
51.1%
54.7%
P2
51.5%
56.3%
P3
54.3%
53.5%
OT
35.7%
54.4%
Final 5 min
54.0%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 14:41 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 1 | 14:29 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 13:26 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 05:34 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 19:27 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 02:36 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 18:06 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:59 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 05:17 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 02:13 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 19:27 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 18:52 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 6, 2017 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 6, 2017 | 1 | 09:53 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 1 | 01:28 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 3 | 19:54 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |