Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Couture 47.6% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 60.5%
Defensive zone
Ryan 58.6%
Neutral zone
Couture 52.7%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Ryan
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Ryan
Couture
Last 6: Ryan 3-3 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
1
Ryan
Couture
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Couture
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
1
2
Ryan
Couture
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
49.2% (1,083)
+1.7%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
56.7% (60)
+18.3%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
35.4% (206)
+9.9%
On power play, Ryan has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Ryan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Ryan shoots right. Couture is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Ryan
Couture
Home
53.7% (214)
49.6% (713)
Away
46.4% (220)
45.0% (636)
By Period
Ryan
Couture
P1
45.0%
47.2%
P2
50.0%
45.0%
P3
54.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 15:02 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 06:55 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 1 | 00:08 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |