Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Couture 48.3% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 73.0%
Defensive zone
Ryan 78.4%
Neutral zone
Ryan 81.6%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Ryan
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Ryan
Couture
Last 10: Ryan 4-6 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
4
3
Ryan
Couture
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
0
Ryan
Couture
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
3
4
Ryan
Couture
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
48.8% (8,919)
+7.8%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
54.6% (624)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
39.8% (992)
+8.0%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Couture is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,626).
Home / Away
Ryan
Couture
Home
56.2% (2,559)
49.4% (5,418)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
47.1% (5,135)
By Period
Ryan
Couture
P1
55.1%
47.9%
P2
54.7%
47.9%
P3
56.0%
49.2%
OT
58.3%
48.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 15:02 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 06:55 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 1 | 00:08 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 17:32 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 2 | 18:42 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 1 | 03:17 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 3 | 03:42 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 3 | 03:27 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 2 | 00:57 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 1 | 19:58 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 11:50 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 11:38 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 01:18 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |