Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Granlund 47.0% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 73.0%
Defensive zone
Ryan 71.5%
Neutral zone
Ryan 51.6%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Ryan
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Ryan
Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Ryan
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (263)
46.7% (885)
+14.1%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
44.9% (69)
+55.1%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (145)
49.0% (98)
-2.8%
On power play, Ryan has a +55.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Ryan is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Ryan shoots right. Granlund is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (307).
Home / Away
Ryan
Granlund
Home
56.7% (201)
51.1% (495)
Away
54.8% (208)
42.9% (557)
By Period
Ryan
Granlund
P1
56.7%
49.9%
P2
56.8%
46.4%
P3
53.7%
44.3%
Final 5 min
56.1%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |