Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Granlund 48.6% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 60.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 86.4%
Neutral zone
Ryan 87.5%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 77.4%
77.4%
22.6%
Ryan
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Ryan
Granlund
Last 10: Ryan 8-2 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
1
Ryan
Granlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
4
0
Ryan
Granlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
2
Ryan
Granlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
48.6% (6,765)
+8.0%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
53.0% (760)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
43.6% (635)
+4.2%
On even strength, Ryan has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Granlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,967).
Home / Away
Ryan
Granlund
Home
56.2% (2,559)
51.0% (3,905)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
46.4% (4,255)
By Period
Ryan
Granlund
P1
55.1%
48.8%
P2
54.7%
48.7%
P3
56.0%
48.5%
OT
58.3%
43.3%
Final 5 min
52.5%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 16:43 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 06:01 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 06:39 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 09:06 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 1 | 06:54 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 1 | 06:43 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 12:04 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 3 | 18:07 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 3 | 16:40 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |