Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Shore wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shore 48.4% vs Hertl 52.3% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shore 61.4%
Defensive zone
Shore 62.3%
Neutral zone
Shore 64.5%
Result
Devin Shore favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Shore
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Shore
Hertl
Last 8: Shore 3-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Shore
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
4
Shore
Hertl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shore
1
0
Shore
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shore
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (185)
51.6% (1,084)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
44.1% (136)
+0.7%
On even strength, Hertl has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Shore is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Shore shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Shore
Hertl
Home
47.1% (121)
55.2% (696)
Away
48.4% (93)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Shore
Hertl
P1
51.4%
55.4%
P2
47.5%
54.8%
P3
44.3%
48.9%
Final 5 min
36.4%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shore
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.7%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 10:18 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Devin Shore |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 17:13 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 10:13 | Neutral | Devin Shore |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 06:14 | Offensive | Devin Shore |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 02:09 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |