Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Shore wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shore 47.4% vs Hertl 54.3% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Shore 63.7%
Defensive zone
Shore 64.7%
Neutral zone
Shore 64.9%
Result
Devin Shore favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Shore
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Shore
Hertl
Last 10: Shore 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shore
2
1
Shore
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
5
Shore
Hertl
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shore
1
0
Shore
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shore
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (1,389)
53.9% (8,303)
-6.3%
Power Play
43.8% (130)
59.2% (1,995)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (91)
46.3% (806)
+1.0%
On power play, Hertl has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Shore is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Shore shoots left. Hertl is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,962).
Home / Away
Shore
Hertl
Home
46.7% (852)
55.8% (5,382)
Away
47.9% (758)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Shore
Hertl
P1
46.4%
53.6%
P2
47.6%
54.2%
P3
47.6%
55.3%
OT
75.0%
46.9%
Final 5 min
45.9%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shore
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.3%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 10:18 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Devin Shore |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 17:13 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 10:13 | Neutral | Devin Shore |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 06:14 | Offensive | Devin Shore |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 02:09 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 04:16 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 01:33 | Offensive | Devin Shore |