Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Toninato wins 65.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 51.1% vs Tavares 56.8% (-2.5%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 64.3%
Defensive zone
Toninato 61.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 57.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Toninato
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (31)
57.7% (975)
-2.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Toninato is 65.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Toninato shoots left. Tavares is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Home / Away
Toninato
Tavares
Home
71.4% (21)
57.4% (636)
Away
20.0% (10)
57.2% (612)
By Period
Toninato
Tavares
P1
50.0%
57.5%
P2
71.4%
56.9%
P3
33.3%
57.5%
Final 5 min
44.4%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
54.8%
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%