Dominic Toninato vs Sebastian Aho

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Dominic Toninato holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Toninato wins 65.0% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Toninato 51.1% vs Aho 50.5% (+4.3%)
Offensive zone Aho 64.3%
Defensive zone Toninato 60.3%
Neutral zone Aho 53.3%
Result Sebastian Aho favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Toninato Aho
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Toninato
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (31)
50.5% (878)
+4.3%
On even strength, Toninato has a +4.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Aho shoots left. Toninato is 65.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Toninato shoots left. Aho is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Toninato
Aho
Home
71.4% (21)
53.8% (571)
Away
20.0% (10)
46.9% (512)
By Period
Toninato
Aho
P1
50.0%
49.0%
P2
71.4%
51.7%
P3
33.3%
50.3%
Final 5 min
44.4%
49.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%
47.5%
54.8%
Aho
60.0%
50.5%
50.5%