Dominic Toninato vs Sebastian Aho
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Toninato on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Toninato wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 45.1% vs Aho 51.3% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 92.3%
Defensive zone
Aho 65.3%
Neutral zone
Aho 78.8%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 73.0%
27.0%
73.0%
Toninato
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Toninato
Aho
Last 7: Toninato 5-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Toninato
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toninato
3
1
Toninato
Aho
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toninato
2
0
Toninato
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (769)
50.1% (6,415)
-4.6%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
59.1% (1,297)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (45)
46.0% (446)
-19.3%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Toninato is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Toninato shoots left. Aho is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,145).
Home / Away
Toninato
Aho
Home
46.3% (404)
52.4% (4,199)
Away
42.9% (431)
50.2% (3,959)
By Period
Toninato
Aho
P1
40.7%
51.2%
P2
45.4%
52.1%
P3
47.3%
50.8%
Final 5 min
41.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
42.0%▼
46.5%
44.6%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 04:42 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 08:46 | Defensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 04:06 | Defensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 16:44 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 12:05 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 08:54 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |