Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Connor on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). O'Connor wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Connor 50.0% vs Compher 51.3% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Connor 53.5%
Defensive zone
Compher 86.8%
Neutral zone
Compher 61.0%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
O'Connor
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
O'Connor
Compher
Last 5: O'Connor 4-1 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Connor
3
0
O'Connor
Compher
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
1
O'Connor
Compher
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Connor
1
0
O'Connor
Compher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Connor
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (82)
53.1% (784)
-5.5%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
54.8% (31)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (12)
36.8% (95)
+29.9%
On penalty kill, O'Connor has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. O'Connor is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (40).
O'Connor shoots left. Compher is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
O'Connor
Compher
Home
61.2% (49)
51.3% (452)
Away
40.0% (55)
51.5% (458)
By Period
O'Connor
Compher
P1
38.7%
54.9%
P2
53.7%
49.0%
P3
56.3%
50.6%
Final 5 min
53.8%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Connor
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.0%
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Drew O'Connor |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:29 | Neutral | Drew O'Connor |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 07:45 | Offensive | Drew O'Connor |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 01:08 | Offensive | Drew O'Connor |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 01:24 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |