Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Connor on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). O'Connor wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Connor 45.5% vs Compher 47.8% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 60.0%
Defensive zone
Compher 90.8%
Neutral zone
Compher 72.0%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 72.2%
27.8%
72.2%
O'Connor
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
O'Connor
Compher
Last 8: O'Connor 6-2 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Connor
3
0
O'Connor
Compher
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
O'Connor
Compher
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Connor
2
1
O'Connor
Compher
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Connor
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (295)
48.6% (5,743)
-5.9%
Power Play
45.8% (24)
52.6% (682)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (38)
41.9% (1,426)
+13.4%
On penalty kill, O'Connor has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. O'Connor is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (132).
O'Connor shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,651).
Home / Away
O'Connor
Compher
Home
45.2% (199)
49.0% (3,917)
Away
43.0% (158)
46.6% (3,934)
By Period
O'Connor
Compher
P1
41.9%
49.0%
P2
44.9%
47.2%
P3
46.1%
47.4%
Final 5 min
53.0%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Connor
40.0%▼
47.0%
44.3%
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Drew O'Connor |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:29 | Neutral | Drew O'Connor |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 07:45 | Offensive | Drew O'Connor |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 01:08 | Offensive | Drew O'Connor |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 01:24 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 11:38 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 1 | 18:51 | Defensive | Drew O'Connor |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 18:23 | Neutral | Drew O'Connor |