Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 53.2% vs Nazar 47.3% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 75.9%
Defensive zone
Cozens 58.5%
Neutral zone
Cozens 62.0%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Cozens
Nazar
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Cozens
Nazar
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Nazar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Nazar
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (634)
47.2% (574)
+6.0%
Power Play
57.7% (97)
51.0% (143)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
30.2% (43)
+3.1%
On power play, Cozens has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nazar shoots right. Cozens is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Cozens shoots right. Nazar is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Cozens
Nazar
Home
54.8% (383)
45.0% (329)
Away
52.3% (354)
48.5% (431)
By Period
Cozens
Nazar
P1
56.0%
47.8%
P2
51.2%
43.4%
P3
53.9%
48.4%
OT
40.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
Nazar
60.0%▲
51.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 06:47 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |