Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cozens wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Nazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.5% vs Nazar 46.2% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 61.7%
Defensive zone
Cozens 57.4%
Neutral zone
Cozens 55.2%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Cozens
Nazar
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Cozens
Nazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Nazar
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
0
2
Cozens
Nazar
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
1
Cozens
Nazar
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Nazar
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,103)
46.3% (907)
+2.7%
Power Play
50.3% (717)
48.1% (183)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
35.6% (73)
+5.4%
On penalty kill, Cozens has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nazar shoots right. Cozens is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,457).
Cozens shoots right. Nazar is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Cozens
Nazar
Home
48.3% (2,685)
44.2% (536)
Away
48.7% (2,574)
47.4% (627)
By Period
Cozens
Nazar
P1
49.1%
47.7%
P2
47.8%
42.2%
P3
48.9%
47.1%
OT
34.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.1%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
48.5%
Nazar
60.0%▲
51.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 06:47 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 12:23 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |