Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cozens wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Nazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Nazar 45.3% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 64.0%
Defensive zone
Cozens 58.3%
Neutral zone
Cozens 55.1%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Cozens
Nazar
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Cozens
Nazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Nazar
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
0
2
Cozens
Nazar
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
1
Cozens
Nazar
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Nazar
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (3,987)
45.9% (726)
+2.9%
Power Play
50.4% (699)
45.5% (121)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
30.0% (60)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Cozens has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nazar shoots right. Cozens is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,439).
Cozens shoots right. Nazar is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Home / Away
Cozens
Nazar
Home
48.1% (2,633)
44.4% (450)
Away
48.6% (2,492)
45.1% (457)
By Period
Cozens
Nazar
P1
49.0%
47.2%
P2
47.7%
41.6%
P3
48.8%
45.0%
OT
32.4%
58.3%
Final 5 min
46.1%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
46.0%▼
50.0%
48.4%
Nazar
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 06:47 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 12:23 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |