Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 53.2% vs Evans 55.0% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 85.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 80.7%
Neutral zone
Cozens 50.0%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Cozens
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Cozens
Evans
Last 8: Cozens 4-4 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
0
Cozens
Evans
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
3
Cozens
Evans
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Cozens
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (634)
55.6% (522)
-2.4%
Power Play
57.7% (97)
72.7% (11)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
55.2% (210)
-21.9%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Cozens is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Cozens shoots right. Evans is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Cozens
Evans
Home
54.8% (383)
54.7% (402)
Away
52.3% (354)
56.9% (341)
By Period
Cozens
Evans
P1
56.0%
57.9%
P2
51.2%
55.2%
P3
53.9%
53.6%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.7%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 02:17 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 06:12 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 07:08 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 15:57 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:43 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:17 | Defensive | Jake Evans |