Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 21 meetings). Cozens wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.5% vs Evans 52.2% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 29-21 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 88.8%
Defensive zone
Evans 54.2%
Neutral zone
Cozens 69.3%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Cozens
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
29
(50 meetings)
21
29
Cozens
Evans
Last 10: Cozens 4-6 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
11
3
Cozens
Evans
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
3
18
Cozens
Evans
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
7
8
Cozens
Evans
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,103)
53.7% (3,740)
-4.7%
Power Play
50.3% (717)
60.6% (71)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
47.1% (1,228)
-6.1%
On power play, Evans has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Cozens is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,457).
Cozens shoots right. Evans is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,301).
Home / Away
Cozens
Evans
Home
48.3% (2,685)
53.3% (2,621)
Away
48.7% (2,574)
51.0% (2,418)
By Period
Cozens
Evans
P1
49.1%
54.0%
P2
47.8%
50.9%
P3
48.9%
52.0%
OT
34.3%
46.5%
Final 5 min
46.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
48.5%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 02:17 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 06:12 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 07:08 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 15:57 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:43 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:17 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:16 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 08:39 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 12:38 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 13:02 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 13:34 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 19:35 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 07:48 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:48 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:22 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |