Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cozens wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 53.2% vs Tavares 56.7% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 66.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 55.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 73.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 66.7%
33.3%
66.7%
Cozens
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Cozens
Tavares
Last 10: Cozens 7-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
4
0
Cozens
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
1
Cozens
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
3
Cozens
Tavares
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (634)
57.7% (956)
-4.5%
Power Play
57.7% (97)
55.7% (244)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
52.2% (23)
-18.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Cozens is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Cozens shoots right. Tavares is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (437).
Home / Away
Cozens
Tavares
Home
54.8% (383)
57.4% (636)
Away
52.3% (354)
57.1% (587)
By Period
Cozens
Tavares
P1
56.0%
57.1%
P2
51.2%
57.0%
P3
53.9%
57.6%
OT
40.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
50.7%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
Tavares
44.0%▼
52.5%
57.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 11:09 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 01:52 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 05:10 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 15:21 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 07:57 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 14:39 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 08:32 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 07:23 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |