Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 25 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.5% vs Tavares 54.4% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 36-26 in 62 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 73.7%
Defensive zone
Cozens 79.8%
Neutral zone
Cozens 75.0%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 76.3%
76.3%
23.7%
Cozens
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
36
(62 meetings)
26
36
Cozens
Tavares
Last 10: Cozens 7-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
7
18
Cozens
Tavares
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
14
10
Cozens
Tavares
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
5
8
Cozens
Tavares
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,103)
54.0% (16,150)
-5.0%
Power Play
50.3% (717)
56.4% (4,292)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
50.5% (624)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Cozens is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
Cozens shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,570).
Home / Away
Cozens
Tavares
Home
48.3% (2,685)
56.1% (10,525)
Away
48.7% (2,574)
52.7% (10,570)
By Period
Cozens
Tavares
P1
49.1%
55.0%
P2
47.8%
54.1%
P3
48.9%
54.0%
OT
34.3%
55.9%
Final 5 min
46.1%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
48.5%
Tavares
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 11:09 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 01:52 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 05:10 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 15:21 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 07:57 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 14:39 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 08:32 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 07:23 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 00:34 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 16:33 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 10:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 06:27 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 17:39 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 13:40 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |