Dylan Cozens vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Cozens wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.5% vs McCarron 52.6% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 13-12 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 80.0%
Defensive zone
McCarron 76.6%
Neutral zone
McCarron 53.6%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Cozens
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
12
(25 meetings)
13
12
Cozens
McCarron
Last 10: Cozens 5-5 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
2
Cozens
McCarron
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
4
Cozens
McCarron
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
9
6
Cozens
McCarron
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,103)
53.3% (2,926)
-4.3%
Power Play
50.3% (717)
45.3% (86)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
50.1% (469)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Cozens is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,457).
Cozens shoots right. McCarron is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,056).
Home / Away
Cozens
McCarron
Home
48.3% (2,685)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
48.7% (2,574)
53.1% (1,785)
By Period
Cozens
McCarron
P1
49.1%
53.8%
P2
47.8%
52.3%
P3
48.9%
51.9%
OT
34.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.1%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
48.5%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 12:51 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 10:07 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 08:19 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 01:13 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:58 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 18:36 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 09:26 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 3 | 06:45 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 06:43 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:14 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 03:20 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 16:15 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 2 | 06:30 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 08:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |