Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 53.2% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 68.4%
Defensive zone
Cozens 87.5%
Neutral zone
Cozens 78.1%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 82.8%
82.8%
17.2%
Cozens
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Cozens
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Schmaltz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (634)
45.9% (697)
+7.3%
Power Play
57.7% (97)
47.9% (117)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
48.0% (25)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Cozens is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Cozens shoots right. Schmaltz is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Cozens
Schmaltz
Home
54.8% (383)
44.9% (434)
Away
52.3% (354)
47.7% (405)
By Period
Cozens
Schmaltz
P1
56.0%
41.5%
P2
51.2%
46.7%
P3
53.9%
51.1%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 10:45 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 17:41 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |