Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Cozens wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.5% vs Schmaltz 42.6% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 58.0%
Defensive zone
Cozens 85.5%
Neutral zone
Cozens 72.4%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
Cozens
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Cozens
Schmaltz
Last 10: Cozens 6-4 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
4
1
Cozens
Schmaltz
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
1
Cozens
Schmaltz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
3
Cozens
Schmaltz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,103)
41.3% (3,431)
+7.7%
Power Play
50.3% (717)
47.3% (655)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
47.4% (135)
-6.4%
On even strength, Cozens has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Cozens is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,457).
Cozens shoots right. Schmaltz is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,172).
Home / Away
Cozens
Schmaltz
Home
48.3% (2,685)
42.8% (2,114)
Away
48.7% (2,574)
42.0% (2,107)
By Period
Cozens
Schmaltz
P1
49.1%
41.3%
P2
47.8%
42.8%
P3
48.9%
43.1%
OT
34.3%
42.4%
Final 5 min
46.1%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
48.5%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 10:45 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 17:41 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 03:33 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 15:37 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 07:37 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 04:23 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 04:20 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 04:15 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 12:43 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:42 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 09:29 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 09:17 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |