Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Cozens wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 53.2% vs Zacha 51.8% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 69.9%
Defensive zone
Zacha 66.7%
Neutral zone
Cozens 50.4%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Cozens
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Cozens
Zacha
Last 10: Cozens 6-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Cozens
Zacha
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
3
Cozens
Zacha
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
1
Cozens
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (634)
53.0% (700)
+0.2%
Power Play
57.7% (97)
54.1% (109)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
39.2% (74)
-5.9%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Cozens is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Cozens shoots right. Zacha is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Cozens
Zacha
Home
54.8% (383)
51.6% (438)
Away
52.3% (354)
52.4% (445)
By Period
Cozens
Zacha
P1
56.0%
57.0%
P2
51.2%
48.9%
P3
53.9%
50.5%
OT
40.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
50.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 11:49 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 09:08 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 19:54 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 16:41 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 08:25 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 18:44 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 09:18 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 08:05 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 2 | 11:40 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 13:16 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 11:31 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |