Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 49.2%). Look for Zacha on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.5% vs Zacha 49.2% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 27-18 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 53.3%
Defensive zone
Cozens 52.5%
Neutral zone
Cozens 51.8%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Cozens
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
27
(45 meetings)
18
27
Cozens
Zacha
Last 10: Cozens 6-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
7
11
Cozens
Zacha
18 total
Defensive Zone
Even
9
9
Cozens
Zacha
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
7
Cozens
Zacha
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,103)
48.9% (5,156)
+0.1%
Power Play
50.3% (717)
55.7% (813)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
42.2% (557)
-1.2%
On power play, Zacha has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Cozens is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
Cozens shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,560).
Home / Away
Cozens
Zacha
Home
48.3% (2,685)
49.7% (3,381)
Away
48.7% (2,574)
48.6% (3,145)
By Period
Cozens
Zacha
P1
49.1%
49.9%
P2
47.8%
49.2%
P3
48.9%
48.2%
OT
34.3%
53.5%
Final 5 min
46.1%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
48.5%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 11:49 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 09:08 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 19:54 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 16:41 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 08:25 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 18:44 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 09:18 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 08:05 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 2 | 11:40 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 13:16 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 11:31 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 15:12 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 13:10 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:51 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 18:04 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 09:53 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |