Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 53.2% vs Strome 45.9% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 54.4%
Defensive zone
Strome 55.5%
Neutral zone
Strome 50.2%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Cozens
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cozens
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Cozens
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (634)
45.4% (315)
+7.8%
Power Play
57.7% (97)
35.7% (28)
+22.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
50.0% (4)
-16.7%
On power play, Cozens has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Cozens is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Cozens shoots right. Strome is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Cozens
Strome
Home
54.8% (383)
42.6% (188)
Away
52.3% (354)
47.2% (159)
By Period
Cozens
Strome
P1
56.0%
38.6%
P2
51.2%
48.4%
P3
53.9%
46.2%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.7%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 11:04 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |