Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cozens wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.5% vs Strome 44.6% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 56.2%
Defensive zone
Cozens 56.8%
Neutral zone
Cozens 59.8%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Cozens
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Cozens
Strome
Last 10: Cozens 5-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
4
Cozens
Strome
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cozens
Strome
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
1
Cozens
Strome
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,103)
44.2% (6,887)
+4.8%
Power Play
50.3% (717)
49.2% (855)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
41.5% (410)
-0.5%
On even strength, Cozens has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Cozens is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,457).
Cozens shoots right. Strome is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,379).
Home / Away
Cozens
Strome
Home
48.3% (2,685)
44.4% (4,077)
Away
48.7% (2,574)
44.8% (4,075)
By Period
Cozens
Strome
P1
49.1%
43.9%
P2
47.8%
45.4%
P3
48.9%
44.4%
OT
34.3%
46.3%
Final 5 min
46.1%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
48.5%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 11:04 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 01:37 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 1 | 01:37 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 13:34 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 18:12 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 3 | 01:43 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 17:27 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 1 | 00:38 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 17:08 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 2 | 07:03 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 07:04 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |