Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cozens wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 53.2% vs Kuraly 51.0% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 92.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 67.8%
Neutral zone
Cozens 65.3%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Cozens
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Cozens
Kuraly
Last 10: Cozens 8-2 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
4
0
Cozens
Kuraly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Cozens
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
0
Cozens
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (634)
52.6% (464)
+0.6%
Power Play
57.7% (97)
100.0% (1)
-42.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
46.5% (155)
-13.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +42.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Cozens is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Cozens shoots right. Kuraly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Home / Away
Cozens
Kuraly
Home
54.8% (383)
55.9% (322)
Away
52.3% (354)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Cozens
Kuraly
P1
56.0%
55.9%
P2
51.2%
46.7%
P3
53.9%
50.7%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 10:31 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 08:18 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 14:10 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 10:07 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 06:44 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 14:49 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 07:04 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 12:07 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:08 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |