Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.5% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 28-23 in 51 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 85.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 79.6%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 56.5%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Cozens
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
23
(51 meetings)
28
23
Cozens
Kuraly
Last 10: Cozens 8-2 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
16
4
Cozens
Kuraly
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
5
11
Cozens
Kuraly
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
7
8
Cozens
Kuraly
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,103)
51.6% (5,161)
-2.6%
Power Play
50.3% (717)
56.4% (101)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
44.4% (1,091)
-3.4%
On power play, Kuraly has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Cozens is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
Cozens shoots right. Kuraly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,235).
Home / Away
Cozens
Kuraly
Home
48.3% (2,685)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
48.7% (2,574)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Cozens
Kuraly
P1
49.1%
51.2%
P2
47.8%
50.0%
P3
48.9%
50.2%
OT
34.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
46.1%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
48.5%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 10:31 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 08:18 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 14:10 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 10:07 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 06:44 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 14:49 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 07:04 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 12:07 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:08 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 02:37 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 14:06 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 07:31 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 03:30 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 13:23 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 09:34 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 03:21 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 16:36 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 14, 2023 | 2 | 12:35 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 14, 2023 | 1 | 01:59 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |