Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.6% vs 52.7%). Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cozens wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 53.2% vs Monahan 52.5% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 60.9%
Defensive zone
Monahan 59.0%
Neutral zone
Monahan 54.5%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Cozens
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Cozens
Monahan
Last 7: Cozens 3-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
1
Cozens
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Cozens
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (634)
53.0% (874)
+0.2%
Power Play
57.7% (97)
54.7% (161)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
47.5% (101)
-14.2%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Cozens is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Cozens shoots right. Monahan is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Cozens
Monahan
Home
54.8% (383)
53.8% (558)
Away
52.3% (354)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Cozens
Monahan
P1
56.0%
49.5%
P2
51.2%
54.8%
P3
53.9%
52.8%
OT
40.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
50.7%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 12:07 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 15:19 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 10:15 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:14 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 06:39 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |