Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 24 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.5% vs Monahan 51.2% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 34-25 in 59 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 60.6%
Defensive zone
Cozens 69.7%
Neutral zone
Cozens 62.6%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Cozens
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
34
(59 meetings)
25
34
Cozens
Monahan
Last 10: Cozens 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
12
9
Cozens
Monahan
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
8
16
Cozens
Monahan
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
5
9
Cozens
Monahan
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,103)
51.1% (11,407)
-2.1%
Power Play
50.3% (717)
53.6% (2,582)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
45.9% (772)
-4.9%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Cozens is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
Cozens shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Home / Away
Cozens
Monahan
Home
48.3% (2,685)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
48.7% (2,574)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Cozens
Monahan
P1
49.1%
51.0%
P2
47.8%
51.7%
P3
48.9%
51.0%
OT
34.3%
53.5%
Final 5 min
46.1%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
48.5%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 12:07 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 15:19 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 10:15 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:14 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 06:39 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 04:34 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 12:05 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 10:36 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 11:08 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 02:24 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |