Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Cozens wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.5% vs Stamkos 51.1% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 13-12 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 50.8%
Defensive zone
Cozens 57.4%
Neutral zone
Cozens 54.7%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Cozens
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
13
(25 meetings)
12
13
Cozens
Stamkos
Last 10: Cozens 5-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
7
Cozens
Stamkos
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
10
3
Cozens
Stamkos
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
3
Cozens
Stamkos
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,103)
50.5% (9,825)
-1.5%
Power Play
50.3% (717)
55.2% (1,729)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
49.6% (827)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Cozens is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,457).
Cozens shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,601).
Home / Away
Cozens
Stamkos
Home
48.3% (2,685)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
48.7% (2,574)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Cozens
Stamkos
P1
49.1%
49.2%
P2
47.8%
52.7%
P3
48.9%
50.9%
OT
34.3%
54.3%
Final 5 min
46.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
48.5%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:42 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 19:42 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 3 | 09:51 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 19:16 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 18:55 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 05:08 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 16:18 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 07:28 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 00:42 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 07:36 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 05:35 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 17:37 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 09:58 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 09:49 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 09:44 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |