Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 50.6% vs Hertl 55.4% (-5.3%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 71.1%
Defensive zone
Cozens 63.5%
Neutral zone
Hertl 57.7%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Cozens
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (891)
54.1% (717)
-2.7%
Power Play
50.5% (184)
61.9% (210)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (85)
58.1% (31)
-15.7%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Cozens is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Cozens shoots right. Hertl is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Cozens
Hertl
Home
49.5% (638)
58.1% (492)
Away
51.9% (522)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Cozens
Hertl
P1
51.9%
57.1%
P2
46.4%
54.0%
P3
54.2%
56.6%
OT
16.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.0%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
50.6%
Hertl
64.0%▲
60.0%
55.9%