Scouting Report
Trent Frederic holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 53.2% vs Frederic 54.7% (-4.2%)
Offensive zone
Cozens 65.0%
Defensive zone
Frederic 60.3%
Neutral zone
Frederic 52.7%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Cozens
Frederic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (634)
57.6% (151)
-4.4%
Power Play
57.7% (97)
66.7% (3)
-9.0%
On power play, Frederic has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Cozens is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Cozens shoots right. Frederic is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Cozens
Frederic
Home
54.8% (383)
55.6% (81)
Away
52.3% (354)
60.3% (73)
By Period
Cozens
Frederic
P1
56.0%
57.7%
P2
51.2%
54.3%
P3
53.9%
60.7%
Final 5 min
50.7%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
57.8%