Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.5% vs Frederic 46.8% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 74.8%
Defensive zone
Cozens 51.9%
Neutral zone
Cozens 58.7%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Cozens
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Cozens
Frederic
Last 6: Cozens 4-2 Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
0
Cozens
Frederic
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Frederic
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frederic
0
1
Cozens
Frederic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,103)
46.3% (909)
+2.7%
Power Play
50.3% (717)
63.3% (30)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
35.5% (31)
+5.5%
On power play, Frederic has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Cozens is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
Cozens shoots right. Frederic is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Cozens
Frederic
Home
48.3% (2,685)
47.6% (485)
Away
48.7% (2,574)
45.4% (485)
By Period
Cozens
Frederic
P1
49.1%
41.9%
P2
47.8%
48.0%
P3
48.9%
49.8%
OT
34.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
48.5%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 14:39 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 13:01 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 10:24 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 10:06 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |