Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Cozens wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 53.2% vs Gourde 46.0% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 92.9%
Defensive zone
Cozens 53.6%
Neutral zone
Cozens 69.0%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Cozens
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Cozens
Gourde
Last 10: Cozens 6-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Cozens
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
1
Cozens
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
4
2
Cozens
Gourde
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (634)
47.2% (687)
+6.0%
Power Play
57.7% (97)
45.0% (20)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
33.0% (88)
+0.3%
On power play, Cozens has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Cozens is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Cozens shoots right. Gourde is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Cozens
Gourde
Home
54.8% (383)
44.4% (356)
Away
52.3% (354)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Cozens
Gourde
P1
56.0%
42.2%
P2
51.2%
50.0%
P3
53.9%
44.5%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 14:12 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 01:42 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 10:38 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 02:14 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 15:41 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:42 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:38 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:57 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |