Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 48.2%). Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.5% vs Gourde 48.2% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 25-20 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 65.9%
Defensive zone
Gourde 53.1%
Neutral zone
Cozens 53.0%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Cozens
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
20
(45 meetings)
25
20
Cozens
Gourde
Last 10: Cozens 6-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
8
1
Cozens
Gourde
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
7
6
Cozens
Gourde
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
10
13
Cozens
Gourde
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,103)
48.4% (4,987)
+0.6%
Power Play
50.3% (717)
57.4% (376)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
40.0% (555)
+1.0%
On power play, Gourde has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Cozens is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
Cozens shoots right. Gourde is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,950).
Home / Away
Cozens
Gourde
Home
48.3% (2,685)
49.3% (2,949)
Away
48.7% (2,574)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Cozens
Gourde
P1
49.1%
49.8%
P2
47.8%
47.5%
P3
48.9%
47.5%
OT
34.3%
37.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
48.5%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 14:12 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 01:42 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 10:38 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 02:14 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 15:41 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:42 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:38 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:57 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 07:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 19:31 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 06:49 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:05 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 01:40 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:57 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 06:02 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |