Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Strome 58.3% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 14-6 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 73.7%
Defensive zone
Larkin 93.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 81.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 83.3%
83.3%
16.7%
Larkin
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
14
(20 meetings)
6
14
Larkin
Strome
Last 10: Larkin 4-6 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
5
Larkin
Strome
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
4
Larkin
Strome
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
2
5
Larkin
Strome
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
56.4% (890)
-5.3%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
66.9% (311)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
41.7% (12)
+6.5%
On power play, Strome has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Larkin shoots left. Strome is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (822).
Home / Away
Larkin
Strome
Home
51.7% (686)
55.7% (627)
Away
53.0% (658)
62.5% (586)
By Period
Larkin
Strome
P1
52.5%
61.7%
P2
52.7%
55.7%
P3
51.4%
60.1%
OT
61.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
58.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | OT | 02:49 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 29, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 09:28 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 06:12 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 16:20 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2025 | OT | 02:42 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 14:32 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 09:31 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:17 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 14:08 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 08:52 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 06:22 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 06:07 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 15:45 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 06:42 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |