Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 33 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Strome 51.7% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 47-37 in 84 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 71.2%
Defensive zone
Larkin 73.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 52.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Larkin
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
47
-
37
(84 meetings)
47
37
Larkin
Strome
Last 10: Larkin 4-6 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
4
15
Larkin
Strome
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
25
8
Larkin
Strome
33 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
18
14
Larkin
Strome
32 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (9,056)
50.1% (6,371)
+1.5%
Power Play
58.6% (2,140)
58.6% (1,532)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,124)
45.6% (68)
+4.6%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,876).
Larkin shoots left. Strome is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (5,283).
Home / Away
Larkin
Strome
Home
53.9% (6,277)
51.1% (3,968)
Away
51.4% (6,043)
52.3% (4,003)
By Period
Larkin
Strome
P1
52.7%
50.5%
P2
53.1%
52.3%
P3
52.0%
52.3%
OT
58.4%
52.7%
Final 5 min
53.2%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | OT | 02:49 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 29, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 09:28 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 06:12 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 16:20 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2025 | OT | 02:42 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 14:32 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 09:31 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:17 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 14:08 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 08:52 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 06:22 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 06:07 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 15:45 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 06:42 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |