Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Haula 49.7% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 71.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 69.2%
Neutral zone
Larkin 72.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Larkin
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
5
(17 meetings)
12
5
Larkin
Haula
Last 10: Larkin 8-2 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
2
Larkin
Haula
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
7
2
Larkin
Haula
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
1
Larkin
Haula
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
49.9% (747)
+1.2%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
53.8% (78)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
42.4% (66)
+5.8%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Larkin shoots left. Haula is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Larkin
Haula
Home
51.7% (686)
48.5% (468)
Away
53.0% (658)
51.1% (423)
By Period
Larkin
Haula
P1
52.5%
52.5%
P2
52.7%
51.1%
P3
51.4%
45.9%
OT
61.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 08:06 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 06:29 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 18:24 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 16:36 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 08:28 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 08:34 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 05:23 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 10:14 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 07:31 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 01:56 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 17:43 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 15:09 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 12:46 | Neutral | Erik Haula |