Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 52.3%). Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 30 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Haula 52.3% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 45-44 in 89 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 62.3%
Defensive zone
Haula 53.1%
Neutral zone
Larkin 52.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Larkin
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
44
-
45
(89 meetings)
44
45
Larkin
Haula
Last 10: Larkin 8-2 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
14
17
Larkin
Haula
31 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
17
13
Larkin
Haula
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
13
15
Larkin
Haula
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (9,056)
52.8% (7,726)
-1.2%
Power Play
58.6% (2,140)
57.3% (607)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,124)
43.4% (798)
+6.8%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,876).
Larkin shoots left. Haula is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (5,827).
Home / Away
Larkin
Haula
Home
53.9% (6,277)
53.4% (4,520)
Away
51.4% (6,043)
51.3% (4,611)
By Period
Larkin
Haula
P1
52.7%
53.2%
P2
53.1%
51.4%
P3
52.0%
52.6%
OT
58.4%
43.5%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 08:06 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 06:29 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 18:24 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 16:36 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 08:28 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 08:34 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 05:23 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 10:14 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 07:31 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 01:56 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 17:43 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 15:09 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 12:46 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 16:57 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 04:53 | Defensive | Erik Haula |