Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Eichel 48.2% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 53.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 67.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 66.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Larkin
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Larkin
Eichel
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
4
Larkin
Eichel
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
1
Larkin
Eichel
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Eichel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
48.2% (909)
+2.9%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
55.2% (67)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
41.2% (97)
+7.0%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Larkin is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (479).
Larkin shoots left. Eichel is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Home / Away
Larkin
Eichel
Home
51.7% (686)
48.0% (564)
Away
53.0% (658)
47.9% (509)
By Period
Larkin
Eichel
P1
52.5%
49.8%
P2
52.7%
48.6%
P3
51.4%
46.7%
OT
61.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
55.7%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 11:23 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 07:59 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 00:53 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 17:25 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 18:47 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 17:48 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 17:26 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 10:20 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 03:19 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:49 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 03:27 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 05:16 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |