Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 49 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Eichel 45.2% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 86-56 in 142 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 85.0%
Defensive zone
Larkin 92.1%
Neutral zone
Larkin 91.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 89.6%
89.6%
10.4%
Larkin
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
86
-
56
(142 meetings)
86
56
Larkin
Eichel
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
21
22
Larkin
Eichel
43 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
38
11
Larkin
Eichel
49 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
27
23
Larkin
Eichel
50 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (9,056)
44.8% (8,513)
+6.8%
Power Play
58.6% (2,140)
52.7% (929)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,124)
37.8% (550)
+12.4%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,444).
Larkin shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,079).
Home / Away
Larkin
Eichel
Home
53.9% (6,277)
45.8% (4,954)
Away
51.4% (6,043)
44.5% (5,038)
By Period
Larkin
Eichel
P1
52.7%
45.5%
P2
53.1%
45.8%
P3
52.0%
44.1%
OT
58.4%
44.1%
Final 5 min
53.2%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 11:23 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 07:59 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 00:53 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 17:25 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 18:47 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 17:48 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 17:26 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 10:20 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 03:19 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:49 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 03:27 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 05:16 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 11:14 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 08:14 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:24 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |