Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +29.3% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Guentzel 45.5% (+29.3%)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 56.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 67.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 52.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Larkin
Guentzel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
27.3% (22)
+28.6%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
0.0% (1)
+57.4%
On power play, Larkin has a +57.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. Guentzel is 35.7% vs left-shot opponents (14).
Home / Away
Larkin
Guentzel
Home
56.0% (654)
33.3% (9)
Away
54.8% (639)
21.4% (14)
By Period
Larkin
Guentzel
P1
54.4%
27.3%
P2
55.9%
16.7%
P3
55.2%
40.0%
OT
64.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
16.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
55.4%
Guentzel
54.0%▲
47.0%
26.1%